Moody’s economists add a splash of cold water to some of the numbers that have emerged in recent days.
Category: Unemployment
Getting the Number Wrong
Mitt Romney said there were 23 million Americans struggling to find work. But some of the groups in the calculation may have been counted twice.
Forecasting Unemployment
According to two economists with a new forecasting model, the jobless rate should stick pretty much where it is for months.
Taming Volatile Raw Data for Jobs Reports
A source of volatility in the last couple of months — and one of the biggest contributors to the bump in employment in September — was the group between the ages of 20 and 24.
A Lift for the Worst Off
The really impressive figures in the jobs report were in the categories of people who have suffered the most.
From Jack Welch, a Conspiracy Theory
The former chief executive of General Electric went to Twitter to suggest that the Obama administration had manipulated the jobs numbers.
What to Look For in Friday’s Jobs Report
The September numbers due on Friday are likely to absorb heightened attention as the election draws near.
Jobs Outlook Remains Tepid
Moody’s Analytics continues to forecast that job growth in August will be faster than it was in the spring, but still in a range that points to a close election.
What the Jobs Numbers Mean for Fed Policy
While the July jobs numbers were better than forecast, they do not seem to have been sufficiently spectacular to change analysts’ expectations for Fed action.
A Give-and-Take on Jobs
The latest figures on jobs and unemployment have led to adjustments in The Times’s weekly election-year jobs tracker.