The economic data was just weak enough this week to cause a slight decline in The Times’s weekly election-year job tracker.
Author: By DAVID LEONHARDT
Latest Data Doesn’t Move the Political Needle
Moody’s analysis of this week’s economics reports leaves its job-growth forecast unchanged between now and the election.
A Darkening Jobs Picture
The latest weekly employment forecast from Moody’s Analytics is looking for weaker gains this month and for the crucial period before the election.
Jobs Forecast Is Steady, but Stay Tuned
The outlook for employment growth between now and the election is unchanged this week, Moody’s Analytics says, but next week’s data could force a revision downward.
Jobs Tracker Holds Steady
This week’s economic data have brought few surprises. The economy has weakened in recent months, but perhaps not as much as last week’s jobs report suggested.
Jobs Forecast Shifts the Electoral Outlook
The latest projections by Moody’s Analytics for monthly job growth still point to a close race for the White House. But the odds of a mini-boom that would help the incumbent have faded.
The Spring Slowdown Has Arrived
When the jobs market weakened in March and April, economists could tell a sensible story about why the weakening wasn’t as severe as it looked. But you can’t tell that story anymore. For the third straight year, the economy has fallen into a spring slump.
For Voters, It’s the Job-Growth Trend That Counts
Presidential elections turn more closely on whether job creation is accelerating or decelerating than on the unemployment number itself. This week’s tracker continues to suggest that the economy should be a modest help to President Obama.
A Modestly Strong Batch of New Data
The Times’s weekly tracker suggests that job growth this month may be slightly stronger than forecast a week ago.
Jobs and the Election: A Weekly Tracker
To track the economy, The Times is creating a weekly report on the predicted path of job growth and the unemployment rate between now and the election.